Free calculators

Prediction market tools

Run the numbers before you trade. Free, instant, and nothing is stored — just the figures that actually affect your decision.

Calculator

Profit & payout calculator

Enter a contract price and a stake to see how many shares you get, your total payout, profit if you win, loss if you don’t, and ROI — for either side.

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Converter

Odds & probability converter

Convert between contract cents, implied probability, decimal, fractional and American odds. Edit any format and the rest update instantly.

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Calculator

Kelly criterion calculator

Find the bankroll-optimal stake for a trade from your edge — full, half or quarter Kelly — with the stake in dollars and contracts.

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Calculator

Expected value (EV) calculator

See whether a trade is worth making: expected value, expected ROI and your edge per contract from a price, your probability and a stake.

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Calculator

Bankroll & position size

Turn your bankroll and a risk percentage into a unit size in dollars and contracts, with a quick read on how much cushion it gives you.

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Calculator

Arbitrage calculator

Check whether buying both sides of a market locks in a guaranteed profit, and how to split your budget across the two legs.

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Calculator

Fee calculator

See what fees really cost: net profit, true break-even win rate and ROI after a per-contract or percentage fee on any platform.

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Converter

No-vig & fair odds

Strip the bookmaker margin out of two-sided odds to reveal each outcome’s fair, no-vig probability and price.

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Calculator

Parlay calculator

Combine several markets into one parlay and see the true combined odds, payout and profit — remembering every leg has to hit.

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Calculator

Hedging calculator

Work out how much of the opposite side to buy to lock in a guaranteed profit or loss on a position that has moved.

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Calculator

Profit & loss calculator

Selling before settlement? See your realised profit or loss and return from buying at one price and selling at another.

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Calculator

Break-even win rate

Find the win rate a price requires to break even, then add your own win rate to see whether there is an edge.

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Calculator

Average entry calculator

Bought in at several prices? Get your blended average entry, break-even and unrealised profit or loss.

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Calculator

Tax estimator

A rough federal ballpark on a year’s net profit. Enter your profit and marginal rate — general guidance only, not tax advice.

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How to use them together

Spot a market quoted in odds you don’t recognise? Drop it into the converter to get the implied probability, then take that price to the profit calculator to size your position and see the payout. Two steps, real numbers.

Why run the numbers first

On a prediction market, the price you pay is the probability you are accepting — and the payoff is fixed: every contract settles at $1 if you are right and $0 if you are wrong. That makes the maths simple, but it is easy to misjudge a position in your head. A 90¢ Yes share only returns about 11¢ of profit per dollar risked, so a single loss wipes out several wins; a 30¢ share triples your money but comes in less than a third of the time. Seeing those figures before you trade keeps your expectations honest.

The profit calculator handles position sizing: enter a price and a stake and it returns your shares, total payout, profit, loss and ROI for either side. The odds converter handles translation: paste a market quoted in decimal, fractional or American odds and read off the implied probability, then take that to the calculator. Neither tool stores anything — the numbers stay in your browser.

Now find the right platform

You've run the numbers — see which regulated exchange fits the markets you want to trade.

Independent · No platform pays for placement · 18+ only