The Super Bowl is the single most-watched, most-traded event in American sport, and prediction markets come alive around it. From the moment the two teams are set, a distinctive two-week window opens to trade the winner, the MVP and an unusually large range of in-game props. This guide covers how to approach it.
What you can trade
- Super Bowl winner — once the matchup is set after the conference championships, the head-to-head between the two finalists. Season-long futures converge here.
- Super Bowl MVP — which player takes the award, usually but not always from the winning side.
- Game props — the coin toss, the first team to score, whether the game reaches overtime, total-points bands and much more.
- Live markets — prices that move in real time as the game unfolds.
Where to trade Super Bowl markets
Any of the regulated platforms below is a solid home for this category; our full ranking is in the linked roundup.
Kalshi Editor's pick
Deep, liquid Super Bowl markets, from the winner to a wide range of game props.
DraftKings Predictions Sports
An enormous menu of Super Bowl props and futures from a sportsbook heritage.
Full DraftKings Predictions review Visit DraftKings Predictions →
FanDuel Predicts
Super Bowl markets available in all 50 states.
Novig Exchange
No-vig pricing on the game itself, traded against other users.
See the best platforms for sports →
When the Super Bowl happens
The game is played in early February. The two-week gap between the conference championships and the Super Bowl itself is a distinctive trading window: the matchup is known but the game has not happened, so markets are deep and prices have time to settle. Season-long NFL futures converge on the two finalists as the playoffs narrow the field.
Tips for trading the Super Bowl
- Use the two-week window. A known matchup with time to spare lets you trade deliberately rather than in a rush.
- Be selective with props. The prop menu is huge; trade only the ones where you genuinely have a read.
- Liquidity peaks. Pricing on the main markets is about as tight as sports markets get.
- Futures can be sold in. A season-long position on a finalist can be cashed as the game nears, rather than held to the whistle.
Some novelty props are not offered on regulated exchanges, and sports-market availability varies by US state — see are prediction markets legal? Trade responsibly.
Related market guides
Trade adjacent categories with the same exchange account:
Frequently asked questions
Where can I trade Super Bowl prediction markets?
Kalshi offers deep, liquid Super Bowl markets; DraftKings has an enormous prop and futures menu; FanDuel Predicts is available in all 50 states; and Novig runs a no-vig exchange on the game. See our best-for-sports roundup.
What Super Bowl markets can I trade?
The winner once the matchup is set, the MVP, a wide range of game props such as the coin toss and first score, and live in-game markets. Season-long futures also converge on the two finalists.
When is the Super Bowl?
It is played in early February. The two weeks between the conference championships and the game create a distinctive window to trade a known matchup with deep liquidity.